Bert’s Horseracing Blog

More questions than answers

May 26th, 2009 by Bert

A runner at Chepstow today as Peintre D’Argent comes out for the Pro-claimers.

I saw her a couple of weeks ago when I went up to Manor House Stables. When we claimed her she was very skinny - Nicky thought she might have an ulcer and we put her on the course of anti-ulcer drugs. She’s filled out a lot since then - I don’t think I’d have recognised her if she hadn’t have had her name on her box.

Nicky says she’s pretty fit and we think she’ll relish the extra distance she has today. We’d probably like the ground a little softer and since she’s only worked on an all weather gallop we don’t know how she’ll handle turf anyway, although there’s nothing in her breeding to suggest that she won’t get on with it. With more questions than answers I won’t be having a big bet but I’m positive about a decent showing.

For money I’ll be looking to the 2:00 at Leicester. There are a number of interesting or well bred types in this race, but having spent some time going through them I decided I couldn’t bring myself to back any of them against the relatively cheaply bought Channon trained favourite. Ailsa Carmel ran a decent third at Newbury first time up - she missed the break but made good late headway. That was probably a decent race, and with the experience under her belt she can be expected to break more professionally this time. If the expected improvement comes it will take a decent animal to reel her in first time of asking, and those with experience would probably have to improve considerably.

Posted in Horse Racing | 4 Comments

4 Responses to “More questions than answers”

on 26 May 2009 at 1:42 pm1Equipedia

When I first looked at the opener at Leicester I thought very much the same, Bert, but the words ‘Channon trained favourite’ quickly put me off! Of the debutants Vanishing Grey stands out, so I may have a little on her for the sake of interest.

Peintre D’Argent also looks worthy of some support at around 14/1.

Best of luck today.
on 26 May 2009 at 8:18 pm2james

A respectable run from PD, a handicap win should be possible but thought may be a better bet over hurdles in the autumn. like to know your thoughts about pressing on with flat campaign or going easy and waiting for jumps.

Two year old race was fairly hot by my reckoning. First 2 will probably go on to better things.
on 26 May 2009 at 11:10 pm3Bert

Eqi,
you came closer than I did - serves me right.

James,
I’m not sure PD is built to be a hurdler - the family were generally better on the flat than over hurdles. I’m positive about her flat prospects though - she’s still backward and has a lot of growing to do. She could be an improver.
on 27 May 2009 at 1:29 am4Equipedia

If only ‘closer’ offered some sort of return, Bert (though I noticed that Channon had another favourite turned over in the opener at Redcar).

I would imagine that expectations are fairly low given the form of her Warwick victory, but what are your thoughts ahead of Quaker Parrot’s run (or indeed Don’t Tell Mary’s) in the Hilary Needler tonight? The draw is obviously an imponderable at Beverley - having initially settled on Existentialist I’m seriously considering starting from scratch - so do you foresee the somewhat predictable flurry of withdrawals?

And on a slightly separate note - how did you view the gamble on Monsieur at Huntingdon yesterday? His performance was, utlimately, indicative of a thorough lack of ability and in line with his previous efforts, but even in a weak Huntingdon seller it surely takes a relatively substantial amount of money to move from 25/1 in to 2/1 (in places) - how did things shape on Betfair?

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More questions than answers

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