Comeback trail
Sep 2nd, 2008 by Bert
I’m having a quiet time of it at the moment - the weather’s been horrible and I’ve had a bad cold. I haven’t had any runners and I haven’t been betting either - I’m still licking my wounds from my big bet on Marine Boy.
Marine Boy may come out again at Haydock on Saturday, and we’ll be looking for redemption. He’s been given a handicap mark of 100 and it’s an open nursery. If he’s alright in himself he may line up.
Pansy Potter is an intended runner at Kempton tomorrow night, and she showed a little promise last time. She tries a mile having only run over six furlongs to date. Her mark of 62 isn’t generous, but the penny might be dropping with her, in which case she’d be worth a look.
I’ve had a look at the card today and there’s a couple I may back at Goodwood. In the first Joshua Moore rides the She’s So Pretty for his dad, and this filly should handle the conditions well. Josh is highly rated as a jock by his father, and the filly has run consistently since coming to the stable from Walter Swinburn. The rain is a concern but she can definitely cope with cut as she showed two runs ago.
In the 3:10 Lakeman comes down from Yorkshire, and as his name suggests he should cope with the wet ground. He’s a big price in an open looking race and looks worth an each way punt.
10 Responses to “Comeback trail”
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Get well soon Bert, and keep posting.
Bert, would like to know if you have any plans for the jumping season. You have obviously made a heavy commitment to the flat does this mean you will be cutting back on NH? Godd luck with Boy and Pansy.
Poor Pansy. Two pounds less than 62 (which you thin ungenerous) would make her a selling plater. She was clueless on her debut, didn’t get take to the Blinkers on her second start and she failed by only half a second to win a £40,000 race on her third start. She looks really progressive and I recjon that she has a good chance.
SORRY ABOUT THE TYPING. HERE IS A CORRECTED VERSION.
Poos Pansy. Two pounds less than 62 (which you think ungenerous) would make her a selling plater. She was clueless on her debut, didn’t take to the blinkers on her second start and she failed by only half a second to win a £40,000 race on her third start. She looks really progressive and I reckon that she has a good chance.
Auction House, sire of Pansy Potter, has never had a 2yo winner beyond 7f.
However, Pansy Potter’s full brother, Ghetto, stayed a mile as a two year old last year and arguably ran his best race over a mile on soft ground behind Kandahar Run.
I’m not sure how much to attach to the sales race - £40k maybe but it was the consolation race for the also rans. I’m happy enough with a mark of 62 - she needs to run to that and more if she’s worth persevering with.
I think a mile is probably right for her - if she hadn’t been going for the sales race we’d probably have tried her over seven by now, and she was doing her best work at the end last time.
So Bert do u recommend the mortgage or the beer money on Pansy tonight. I notice that the Post say much the same i.e requiring extra distance about Brians other horse.
Sean - beer money I’d have thought. I don’t have much to add to the Racing Post analysis. I asked Brian whether he’d prefer Pansy to his other one - he said he would as Dream Huntress was on the small side but he didn’t sound that convinced. He’s not planning to go to the track until later (unless I go along) so you could see that as a negative.
Thanks for that, oh btw for that cold, get yourself a glass with a measure of whiskey,spoon of brown sugar, spoon of honey, squeeze of lemon, cloves and pour on the hot water (not too much to kill the whiskey!) - Repeat as necessary